Gold and silver price correction: can I buy now

According to market analysis on March 25, 2025, both gold and silver have shown signs of correction recently, but their future trends are still influenced by multiple factors. The following is a comprehensive analysis and operational suggestion:

Present situation and trend of gold market

1. Short-term callback pressure
   • Gold prices closed for three consecutive trading days, and are currently trading around $3,010 per ounce. Due to the rebound of the US dollar, technical selling and the weakening of the Fed's interest rate cut expectations, the short-term pressure is 12. Technically, the gold daily level falls below the 5-day moving average. If it falls below the integer mark of $3,000 further, it may test the support area of $2,950-2,980. If you hold $3,000, you may rebound to test the resistance of $3,050-3,060.
2. Medium and long-term supporting factors
   • Geopolitical risks: Sino-US trade friction, Russia-Ukraine conflict and other geopolitical events continue to push up the demand for safe haven 3.

     Central Bank's Purchase of Gold: Global central banks (especially emerging markets) continue to increase their holdings of gold. In 2024, the purchase of gold accounted for more than 70% of the increase in demand, providing long-term support for prices.3.

     Fed policy: The market expects to cut interest rates by 69 basis points this year. If inflation data is weak or economic downside risks intensify, loose expectations may further boost the price of gold by 35.

     Operational suggestion

   • Short-term investors: If the price of gold is adjusted back to the range of $2,980-3,000 to stabilize, you can try more light positions, with a stop loss below $2,950 and a target of $3,050-3,100.

     Medium-and long-term investors: If the price stands firm at $3,033 (early resistance), it can be regarded as the signal of the end of the callback, and continue to hold or add positions. The long-term goal is to look at $3,100-3,150.

Present situation and trend of silver market

1. Follow the fluctuation of gold
   • The trend of silver is usually linked with gold, but it is more volatile. After the recent technical correction of silver prices, we should pay attention to the trend of gold and the changes in industrial demand.

     Specific analysis of silver, but historical data show that the short-term support level of silver is $24.9 per ounce, and the resistance level is $25.8-$26.78.

     Operational suggestion

2. • If silver stabilizes around $24.9, you can try to go long with a stop loss of $24.5 and a target of $ 25.8-26. If it exceeds $26, it may open up further upside space 7.

synthetic judgment

• Buying opportunity: when gold is adjusted back to around $3,000 or silver is adjusted back to the key support level, it can be regarded as a phased buying opportunity, but the risk should be controlled by combining stop loss.

  Risk warning:

  Bostic, a Fed official, said that "the interest rate will be cut only once this year". If the monetary policy turns to hawks, the price of precious metals may be suppressed by 1.

  The rebound of the US dollar index and technical selling pressure may aggravate short-term fluctuations by 25.

summary

The pullback of gold and silver provides investors with opportunities for bargain hunting, but we need to pay close attention to the key support levels of $3,000 (gold) and $25 (silver). It is suggested to adopt the strategy of opening positions in batches, strictly set the stop loss, and track the core drivers such as geopolitical situation, Fed policy and economic data.